Royal Ascot 2014

Flat_7Does following trends really help ?

Well, the best way to judge is by results and over the 5 days of Royal Ascot this year, the trends helped identify 13 winners from 21 races analysed, with another 4 lists providing the runner up. There were only 3 races where the trends listing did not contain a placed horse. Below shows the best placed horse in each race that was analysed, along with the number of runners on the trends listing for that race, the number of runners in that race and the percentage of runners covered by the trends listing.

Day 1 – Tuesday 17th June 2014
Queen Anne Stakes – Verrzano 2nd at 6/1. Trends listing had 3 runners and 10 ran (30%)
Coventry StakesThe Wow Signal Won at 5/1. Trends listing had 7 runners and 16 ran (44%)
Kings Stand StakesSole Power Won at 5/1. Trends listing had 3 runners and 16 ran (19%)
St.James’s Palace StakesKingman Won at 8/11. Trends listing had 4 runners and 7 ran (57%)

Day 2 – Wednesday 18th June 2014
Jersey StakesMustajeeb Won at 9/2. Trends listing had 4 runners and 7 ran (57%)
Queen Mary Stakes – Tiggy Wiggy 2nd at 7/2. Trends listing had 5 runners and 21 ran (24%)
Prince Of Wales’s Stakes – Magician 2nd at 6/1. Trends listing had 4 runners and 8 ran (50%)
Duke Of Cambridge StakesIntegral Won at 9/4. Trends listing had 3 runners and 14 ran (21%)
Royal Hunt Cup – Sea Shanty 4th at 14/1. Trends listing had 7 runners and 28 ran (25%)

Day 3 – Thursday 19th June 2014
Norfolk StakesBaitha Alga Won at 8/1. Trends listing had 4 runners and 9 ran (44%)
Tercentenary Stakes – Mutakayyef 2nd at 7/1. Trends listing had 3 runners and 8 ran (38%)
Ribblesdale Stakes – Vazira unplaced in 4th. Trends listing had 6 runners and 12 ran (50%)
Ascot’s Gold CupLeading Light Won at 10/11. Trends listing had 2 runners and 13 ran (15%)
Britannia Stakes – Third Dimension unplaced in 13th. Trends listing had 1 runner and 30 ran (3%)

Day 4 – Friday 20th June 2014
Albany StakesCursory Glance Won at 14/1. Trends listing had 5 runners and 21 ran (24%)
King Edward VII Stakes – Miner’s Lamp unplaced in 6th. Trends listing had 4 runners and 9 ran (44%)
Coronation StakesRizeena Won at 11/2. Trends listing had 7 runners and 12 ran (58%)
Queens VaseHartnell Won at 7/2. Trends listing had 2 runners and 10 ran (20%)

Day 5 – Saturday 21st June 2014
Hardwicke StakesTelescope Won at 7/4. Trends listing had 3 runners and 10 ran (30%)
Diamond Jubilee StakesSlade Power Won at 7/2. Trends listing had 7 runners and 14 ran (50%)
Wokingham StakesBaccarat Won at 9/1. Trends listing had 9 runners and 28 ran (32%)

Overall, 98 runners appeared on my trends listings out of the 318 total number of runners at the meeting (31%). Had a £1 win bet been placed on all those on the trends listings, then a loss of £30.36 would have been incurred, but who is going to back them all ? The reason for publishing these trends lists is to help narrow down the runners to be looked at. The lists contained 31% of the runners but provided 62% of the winners. Personally, I managed to pick 3 winners and another 10 placed horses, something that I am sure that I would have struggled to do without this analysis. I hope you were looking at my lists and managed to find some winners.